SEP 11
Morning market analysis
Fri Sep 11 — CPI day: August CPI at 8:30 AM ET (consensus +0.3% MoM core) is the verdict for September positioning into Wednesday's FOMC.
SEP 11
Afternoon market commentary
S&P 500 closes Friday at 7,656 (+0.86%), snapping a four-day losing streak, as August CPI prints +0.4% MoM with core +0.3%; VIX -11.2% to 15.84.
SEP 10
Morning market analysis
Thu Sep 10 opens modestly higher pre-CPI positioning; Initial Claims at 8:30 AM ET; oil extends past $95 (CL $97.53); Friday's CPI is the verdict.
SEP 10
Afternoon market commentary
S&P 500 closes Thursday at 7,591.70 (-0.58%), a fourth straight loss, as WTI tops $100 and the 10Y jumps to 4.95%; VIX closes at 17.84.
SEP 9
Afternoon market commentary
Pre-CPI hawkish positioning day — SPX -0.48% to 7,636.36; VIX expands +4.71% to 16.46; oil past $95 area (XLE +0.83%, USO +2.70%); 10Y +3.1 bp to 4.837%. Friday's CPI is the September release.
SEP 9
Morning market analysis
Wed Sep 9 opens in pre-CPI hawkish positioning mode with oil holding past $95; Thursday's Claims and Friday's CPI are the next inputs.
SEP 8
Morning market analysis
Tue Sep 8 reopens post-Labor Day with oil past $95 and the hawkish-Warsh compound extending; Friday's CPI is the week's verdict.
SEP 8
Afternoon market commentary
S&P 500 closes Tuesday at 7,673.52 (-0.58%) as the post-ceasefire oil premium extends past $95; VIX +8.2% to 15.72.
SEP 4
Morning market analysis
Pre-NFP positioning flat ahead of today's 8:30 AM ET August NFP (consensus +75K, prior +114K); markets closed Mon Sep 7 for Labor Day (reopen Tue Sep 8).